Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009946 0.011873 0.014234 0.017396 0.021608 0.027164 0.035290
2025-06-01 0.007254 0.009357 0.012246 0.016673 0.023633 0.034858 0.056139
2025-06-08 0.006118 0.008319 0.011591 0.017134 0.027081 0.046226 0.093299
2025-06-15 0.005237 0.007383 0.010755 0.016903 0.029130 0.056433 0.142470
2025-06-22 0.004466 0.006448 0.009681 0.015884 0.029175 0.062466 0.192555
2025-06-29 0.004051 0.005998 0.009304 0.016011 0.031657 0.076711 0.313445
2025-07-06 0.003786 0.005747 0.009211 0.016657 0.035681 0.100012 0.606889
2025-07-13 0.003636 0.005663 0.009400 0.017948 0.042177 0.142242 1.650817
2025-07-20 0.003434 0.005456 0.009308 0.018574 0.047242 0.189668 5.229973
2025-07-27 0.003209 0.005176 0.009022 0.018646 0.050638 0.238125 22.442015
2025-08-03 0.003019 0.004941 0.008787 0.018788 0.054499 0.304720 599.406018
2025-08-10 0.002800 0.004625 0.008336 0.018233 0.055345 0.352007 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002544 0.004234 0.007713 0.017187 0.054200 0.386780 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002338 0.003923 0.007237 0.016477 0.054370 0.448918 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002230 0.003798 0.007157 0.016930 0.060697 0.674353 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002095 0.003601 0.006883 0.016703 0.063446 0.891148 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001931 0.003332 0.006404 0.015701 0.061051 0.950323 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001844 0.003214 0.006274 0.015826 0.065827 1.419126 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001789 0.003160 0.006288 0.016461 0.075003 2.752324 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001765 0.003166 0.006459 0.017731 0.091442 9.096623 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001713 0.003108 0.006454 0.018347 0.104195 35.088471 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001645 0.003008 0.006321 0.018417 0.112255 175.524824 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001584 0.002919 0.006211 0.018557 0.121894 26654.014758 NaN